Department of Economics, University of Michigan


			Saul Hymans Professor of Economics Emeritus and Director of RSQE PhD, University of California, Berkeley U of M Affiliation(s) Professor Emeritus of Statistics Director, Research Seminar in Quantitative Economics Contact Information University of Michigan Department of Economics 611 Tappan Street M119 Lorch Hall Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1220 Phone: 734-764-6438 Fax: 734-763-1307 Email: shymans@umich.edu

Fields of Study Macroeconomics Econometrics About Saul Hymans Saul H. Hymans is professor of economics and statistics and has been Director of the Research Seminar in Quantitative Economics at the University of Michigan since 1981. He has been at the University of Michigan since 1964, and served as chair of the Department of Economics during 1977-80. Saul received the national Blue Chip Annual Economic Forecasting Award (AEFA, formerly the Silbert Award) in 1984 and 1987, and is the first person to have received the AEFA twice. Professor Hymans graduated from Harvard College and holds a Ph.D. in economics and an M.A. in statistics from the University of California, Berkeley. He serves currently as a member of the Board of Directors of the National Bureau of Economic Research, and as the U.S. forecaster for the Pacific Economic Outlook Project of the Pacific Economic Cooperation Council. Homepage http://www.umich.edu/~rsqe/pages/Saul%20Hymans.html Publications Hymans, Saul and E. P. Howrey "The Measurement and Determination of Loanable Funds Saving," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 3:1978. Hymans, Saul "Saving, Investment, and Social Security," National Tax Journal, Vol XXXIV, No. 1, (1981), pp. 1-8. Hymans, Saul, E. P. Howrey and M. R. Donihue "Merging Monthly and Quarterly Forecasts: Experience with MQEM," Journal of Forecasting, 10 (1991), pp. 255-68. Hymans, Saul and E. Philip Howrey "An Open Economy Analysis of the Dynamic Properties of the Michigan Quarterly Econometric Model of the U.S. Economy," in Economics, Econometrics, and the Link: Essays in Honor of Lawrence R. Klein, M. Dutta (Ed.), Elsevier North Holland, 1995, pp. 129-58. Hymans, Saul and Frank P. Stafford "Divergence, Convergence, and the Gains From Trade," Review of International Economics, Volume 3, Issue 1 (1995), pp. 118-23. Hymans, Saul, Alan V. Deardorff, Robert M. Stern and Chong Xiang, "Forecasting U.S. Trade in Services," in Services in the International Economy, R. M. Stern (Ed.), University of Michigan Press, 2001, pp. 53-81.